Oxford commas are not optional.
1. The Apple iPad 2 (or whatever it's called) will be available with a front-facing camera and 4G (LTE), but will have the same screen resolution as the iPad. We should know about April.
2. Nintendo will launch a new Wii console with HD output, DVD playback, and a Kinect-like video camera accessory. I think the first two are a lock, but the third part of that is more wish than expectation.
3. At least one of the smartphone platforms (iOS, Android, Symbian, Blackberry, WP7, MeeGo, webOS, Bada) will go away for good. My money is on Bada.
4. 3D will continue to grow, but not substantially and will mostly be relegated to gaming and in-theater movie experiences.
5. More Android tablets/slates will be sold in 2011 than iOS tablets/slates. That assumes, of course, that the tsunami of Android slates we should see at CES results in products you can actually buy.
6. At least one of the DSLR manufacturers (Nikon, Canon, Sony, Olympus, Pentax/Samsung, Leica, Panasonic, Sigma) will cease producing DSLRs and/or be acquired by another company. My guess is Sigma, as I really have no idea how they can afford to put out mediocre (read "poorly selling") DSLR after mediocre DSLR.
7. By the end of 2011, Windows Phone will have the third largest app catalog (behind iOS & Android). That shouldn't be too much of a stretch, as its growth curve means it'll surpass Blackberry's 15,000 apps or so in a few months.
8. Google will struggle to establish content licensing agreements for Google TV, ending 2011 with a still-lackluster platform. Unless Google is willing to toss a bunch of cash at the networks, that is...it isn't going to win this on charm alone.
9. Facebook will become the 2nd largest (most trafficked) website in the world (overtaking Microsoft.com). Heck...maybe the largest. A reminder that being successful doesn't mean doing anything to significantly improve the human condition.
10. Twitter will be acquired by another company. Fingers crossed they aren't evil.
| 2004: | Predictions, | No Results |
| 2006: | Predictions, | Results |
| 2007: | Predictions, | Results |
| 2008: | Predictions, | Results |
| 2009: | Predictions, | Results |
| 2010: | Predictions, | Results |
So you think Google+ is dying,
eh? Your stream seems to be drying up or decaying into a mundane trickle of
banality. Well, I'm sorry to say this, but it's probably not Google+, it's you.
You may be doing it wrong.
I'm no "SEO expert" or social
media guru, but if you want Google+ to be a dynamic, inspiring, fascinating
river of content and ideas for you, I suggest doing four things:
1) Understand yourself. Without a good understanding and appreciation of what you're passionate about, you'll meander among seemingly random posts, never finding that group of people who will light up G+ like a Christmas tree for you. If you can identify those topics that you most enjoy discussing, it will help you to find others who share that passion much more quickly and effectively. And those people are the point of social media platforms like Google+.
2) Engage. Now, you need to engage those people in a meaningful way. If you can start to do that, the conversations you'll begin having will make it easier to find even more people who can provide content of value to you. Engagement is more than punching the +1 button on the occasional pretty photo or commenting "Nice!" on a useful infographic. Engagement is also more than just making a lot of posts. Meaningful engagement means making substantive comments and interacting with others to enhance the intellectual value of a post -- or even over a series of posts -- whether it's yours or someone else's. In a nutshell, engagement requires conversation...there's no avoiding that.
3) Post publicly. This is a potentially confusing recommendation for some people, as they've come to believe that circles on G+ are meant to restrict the audience for your outgoing content. In some (rare) cases, that's true, such as when you want to keep a post private and give access to a small number of other people (e.g., close friends, family members, or a spouse). Personally, I use circles to limit the audience when I post photos of my kids, as I'd rather those not go floating about the Internet. But for more general content, restricting the audience hurts your ability to engage. For example, if you're posting a link to an interesting article about a new camera that's coming out, limiting that to being visible only to your Photography circle is a mistake. One reason is that you just can't be sure who is going to be interested in seeing that, and by restricting who gets to, you remove the possibility of serendipity. That guy who you circled because of his fascinating posts about cooking just might be looking for a new camera. Not letting him see that is actually a disservice. After all, if he's not looking for one, ignoring your post is as easy as, well, doing nothing. A better use for circles on G+ is for focusing your incoming content into sub-streams that are more homogeneous, which might make it easier to read if you're not bouncing around lots of different topics from incoming post to incoming post. Or, using circles to quickly catch up on what close friends and family are doing, whose posts might get lost in the torrent of those high-volume political activists you're following, is incredibly easy. So, use circles mostly just for two purposes: (a) restricting access to outgoing posts for privacy (not relevance) reasons, and (b) focusing/filtering your incoming content for easier reading.
4)
Be
consistent. Unless you're famous, it can be challenging to develop a social
media community that you're comfortable engaging and sharing your online
existence. It's going to be doubly difficult if you only pop in once or twice a
week for a little while. While you may only be following a few (dozen/hundred) people,
many of those who you want to see your original thoughts, reshared posts, or
external links follow lots of people. As a result, your post might just be
another drop in their otherwise fast-moving stream. I've not seen too many
people satisfied with the quality of their G+ experiences who don't interact at
least several times a week, if not daily. It doesn't need to be obsessive, but
consistent attention matters a lot. Assuming you are making posts and comments
people enjoy, the more frequently people see you (or, more accurately, your
avatar), the more they'll start to value your presence in their stream and the
more they'll engage you back. If you only appear once every blue moon, you'll
never develop enough social persistence to become an indispensable thread in their
online social fabric.
To sum up, I've found Google+ to be a rich, dynamic, and rewarding social network. But, to make the most of it, you'll need to do some introspection and understand what floats your boat; meaningfully engage those with similar passions; post publicly as much of your content as can be safely shared; and do all that regularly. If you do, I think you'll find Google+ quickly becoming a cherished part of your online, social experience.






Sincerely,
The 99%

"The Gini coefficient is a measure of the inequality of a distribution...usually defined mathematically based on the Lorenz curve, which plots the proportion of the total income of the population (y axis) that is cumulatively earned by the bottom x% of the population."

- Star Wars
- Empire Strikes Back
- Blazing Saddles
- Terminator
- Princess Bride
- Monty Python & the Holy Grail
- Spinal Tap
- Raiders of the Lost Ark
- The Lord of the Rings Trilogy (counts as one*)
- The Usual Suspects
- Alien
- Scream
- Blade Runner
- The Incredibles
- Kill Bill (Vols. I & II)
- The Silence of the Lambs
- Twelve Monkeys
- The Shining
- V for Vendetta
- Airplane!
- Ferris Bueller's Day Off
- Good Will Hunting
- The Jerk (thanks, Ben)
- Sin City
- Caddyshack
- Ghostbusters (thanks, Rob)
- Young Frankenstein (thanks, Bryan)
Also, as voting tendencies correlate with income, the growing number of poor will have less and less influence as to who is making the laws that define their society. And, Citizens United already granted corporations some citizen-like, or at least person-like, rights that can greatly influence elections. Since these undereducated masses will have little ability to think critically about the information being provided to them, and the "news" networks will continue to use their bully pulpits to push agendas that benefit themselves first and foremost, there's little chance that the masses will get access to good, critical information. And, even if they did, what's the chance they'd be able to comprehend it? After all, isn't that Dancing with the Stars controversy much more interesting?



